TY - JOUR
T1 - Dynamic sustainability assessment tool
T2 - Case study of green biorefineries in Danish agriculture
AU - Timma, Lelde
AU - Dace, Elina
AU - Kristensen, Troels
AU - Knudsen, Marie Trydeman
N1 - Funding Information:
Funding: This research was funded by European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 798365. Contribution of E. Dace to this study was supported by the ERDF Post-doc project No.1.1.1.2/VIAA/3/19/528 “Decision Support Tool for an Integrated Food Waste Valorisation System (DeSTInation)”. The revision by L. Timma was supported by the ERDF Post-doc project 1.1.1.2/VIAA/3/19/520 “Holistic computing within socio-technical systems to design energy efficiency policy tool (HOTSPOT)”.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 by the authors.
Copyright:
Copyright 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2020/9/9
Y1 - 2020/9/9
N2 - In this work, a novel, dynamic sustainability assessment tool is presented and validated in a case study. This tool combines two methods-system dynamics (SD) and temporal soil carbon modelling. The case study for sustainability analysis of Danish agriculture and green biorefineries supply chains in Denmark is used. The development of the Danish agriculture sector is simulated and assessed in relation to the ecosystem's carrying capacity until 2050, defined as 1.4 livestock units per hectare. The results show that under the current development, the agriculture sector would exceed this carrying capacity shortly after 2030. The results obtained from the dynamic sustainability assessment tool show a more precise and less optimistic projection of future development than the assessment using constant soil carbon modelling values only. The study, therefore, suggests that the use of the temporal aspects in the sustainability assessment should be included and further developed.
AB - In this work, a novel, dynamic sustainability assessment tool is presented and validated in a case study. This tool combines two methods-system dynamics (SD) and temporal soil carbon modelling. The case study for sustainability analysis of Danish agriculture and green biorefineries supply chains in Denmark is used. The development of the Danish agriculture sector is simulated and assessed in relation to the ecosystem's carrying capacity until 2050, defined as 1.4 livestock units per hectare. The results show that under the current development, the agriculture sector would exceed this carrying capacity shortly after 2030. The results obtained from the dynamic sustainability assessment tool show a more precise and less optimistic projection of future development than the assessment using constant soil carbon modelling values only. The study, therefore, suggests that the use of the temporal aspects in the sustainability assessment should be included and further developed.
KW - Agriculture modeling
KW - Biorefineries
KW - Ecosystem carrying capacity
KW - Impact assessment
KW - Planetary boundaries
KW - Sustainability assessment
KW - System dynamics
KW - Temporal aspects
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85091603222&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3390/su12187389
DO - 10.3390/su12187389
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85091603222
SN - 2071-1050
VL - 12
JO - Sustainability (Switzerland)
JF - Sustainability (Switzerland)
IS - 18
M1 - 7389
ER -